The Official MLB Season Thread (Opening in Japan at 6:00 a.m.)

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Originally Posted by haohmaru

What's with this X W-L crap being on MLB's standings page? Who cares about "expected" W-L (read the fine print on the bottom of MLB's page: RS^1.82/((RS^1.82)+(RA^1.82)) )?

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it measures whether a team is playing to expectations (based on runs scored and allowed) and is a better predictor of future results than straight wins and losses.

a team that is underperforming expectations (winning routs, losing 1-run games) is a good bet to suddenly surge in the standings. this happened last year with the yankees. conversely a team that is overperforming expectation is a good bet to come back to earth. in 2005 two good examples of this were the orioles and nationals.

obviously it doesn't always work out (last year the diamondbacks barely had the best record in the NL with a losing X W-L) but it's predictive more often than not. although at this early stage in the season it's not that helpful because of every stat nerd's best friend, small sample size.

Hey Burg! Broke my Met's Cherry a few weeks back, great time.

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Originally Posted by Rich

Kennedy sent down. Yanks down to a 3 man rotation.

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You don't think Rasner can get it done?

My well-timed Beltran bitch has him with less TB and a lower BA than fucking Carlos Delgado.

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Originally Posted by SpoDaddy

You don't think Rasner can get it done?

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He pitched well yesterday and wasn't terrible last year, so he could be an acceptable replacement for Kennedy, but this team can't survive on a 4 man rotation until Hughes gets back...especially with our bullpen still shit outside of joba/mo.

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Originally Posted by burgundy

obviously it doesn't always work out (last year the diamondbacks barely had the best record in the NL with a losing X W-L) but it's predictive more often than not. although at this early stage in the season it's not that helpful because of every stat nerd's best friend, small sample size.

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Weird stat. Hard to believe the season is nearly 20% over already.

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Originally Posted by Rich

He pitched well yesterday and wasn't terrible last year, so he could be an acceptable replacement for Kennedy, but this team can't survive on a 4 man rotation until Hughes gets back...especially with our bullpen still shit outside of joba/mo.

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They can get through May with a 4 man rotation due to off days, after that who knows. Cashman mumbled something yesterday about bringing up Kei Igawa and I coughed up blood. The bullpen this year is a giant cocktease outside of Joba/Rivera; guys like Farnsworth will come in pumping 98mph fastballs and strike out the side one night and then give up 4 runs in 1/3rd of an inning the next night. I've always liked Rasner's arm (when he's healthy) and I think he'll be a serviceable 4th starter. June is going to be tough, hopefully Hughes gets back end of June/early July dealing the way he's capable of. If not we're just going to have to keep trotting kids out there from Scranton and hope one of them can step up.

It's funny, I was dead-set against trading Hughes and Kennedy but fine with trading Melky for Johan. A month into the season I'd trade Hughes and Kennedy for Johan in a heartbeat but Melky is untouchable. I went into this season wondering if he could ever take his hitting to the next level (especially in the cold months) and he currently leads the team in homers while stealing bases and playing a gold glove center field. He's still only 23 too. I know it's far too early to decide Hughes and Kennedy's fates but I really thought they'd be doing well at this point this year, maybe .500 records with 4 ERA's keeping the team in the games.

I was the same--- I was so goddamn excited about an almost entirely homegrown Yankees staff that could get the job done.

They've let me down other than the penis.

Dodgers vs. Mets tonight! This should be good! :)

Edit - Great game tonight...Dodgers win 5-1!

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Originally Posted by magnifiedplaid

Dodgers vs. Mets tonight! This should be good! :)

Edit - Great game tonight...Dodgers win 5-1!

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I was there tonight. C-bills pitched a nice game.