Bullshit. Nothing is on top forever.
MySpace was nowhere near the saturation level that Facebook is now. People's moms and dads and teachers and aunties and neighbors were not on MySpace. If you think that comparing the MySpace > Facebook exodus to this is anything but retarded, you've been asleep for the last 4 years. The world has changed.
Also, http://circlehack.com - Facebook circles written by a FB engineer in less than 24 hours of + existing publically.
I don't want to come off like a FB fanboy, I actually really like + and will use it a lot, but it really is game over in the social space.
ABOUT ME.
"Underground music should have its back turned, it needs to be gone, untrackable, unreadable"
Bullshit. Nothing is on top forever.
Of course not. The next 5 to 10 years though?
ABOUT ME.
"Underground music should have its back turned, it needs to be gone, untrackable, unreadable"
I don't know, man. It's been on top long enough that the hip are looking for something to replace it. It's not "cool" anymore.
3 years, I think. Maybe less?
My point is that the 'hip' don't matter anymore. 750 million active accounts, man, and growing.
Anyone wanna take a 2,3,5 year bet? This time in 201whatever, Facebook is still the number 1 online social network, in terms of active users. $100.00 right here. You know I'm serious / good for it.
ABOUT ME.
"Underground music should have its back turned, it needs to be gone, untrackable, unreadable"
Wait till China gets on board (another area where + is going to have a really hard time).
ABOUT ME.
"Underground music should have its back turned, it needs to be gone, untrackable, unreadable"
Actually for the first time since its inception Facebook didn't grow at all last quarter except in newer markets. There is a critical mass for these things - and newness / tools are what drives their success. I'm not saying Google+ is a shoe-in as a Facebook killer. But eventually it will happen. I personally hope it's a brand new company. Facebook and Twitter have given Google a shot in the arm. I wouldn't go by subscribers as the key measure of success, either. I mean even now MySpace still has a buttload of active memberships, too, but is it relevant? Not a lick.
Technology is so much faster now than it was in just 2008. Imagine where we'll be in 2014/15. And it's only going to get faster. And the tech smaller (smart phones the size of nanotechnology, etc.) Nature of the beast.
Facebook isn't even the Facebook of China. Ren Ren is.
Last edited by Drewbacca; 04 Jul 2011 at 10:50 PM.
Originally Posted by rezo
That's a really fucking big exception.except in newer markets
And slower growth still means growth.
Last edited by Detour; 04 Jul 2011 at 10:59 PM.
ABOUT ME.
"Underground music should have its back turned, it needs to be gone, untrackable, unreadable"
No, because new markets are not saturated. It's fair to say Facebook is going to have growth in Germany with its millions of people and 0 market saturation. People are inevitably going to join. The test is key markets. (namely NA for web tech) In this way business is retarded, though. It's not safe to assume one month of stalling growth is a death knell to begin with. But I was just sayin'. No business is guaranteed safety if they stagnate. Maybe FB will revamp itself with tools we all love in the upcoming months/years. Specifics in tech are mostly all guesswork.
Originally Posted by rezo
Last edited by Wildkat; 05 Jul 2011 at 08:41 AM.
“The very existence of flame-throwers proves that some time, somewhere, someone said to themselves, you know, I want to set those people over there on fire, but I'm just not close enough to get the job done.” -George Carlin
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