Official Thread of Michael Pachter Predictions

[kedawa]

The solution to that is to not come back.

[YellerDog]

Some people really need to go outside, I think.

Some should *never* go outside, and this is ideal.

[Bacon McShig]

http://www.hulu.com/watch/4510

[Yoshi]

I don't think TNL supports GameTrailers video embedding, but I found this Pach-Attack! interesting.

[Will]

I did too, lots of stuff I agree on.

[Yoshi]

Though the answer is obvious, Pachter explains why Valve has not gone public, among other topics, such as potential Nintendo acquisitions.

edit: I'm starting to like this guy. He'll never be right every time, but he communicates well and seems to be able to support his opinions and predictions.

[Diff-chan]

Companies go public when they need more capital to expand, or when their owners want to cash out. Valve seems to do alright on both fronts. A lot of very large companies are private. Going public also increases disclosure requirements and paperwork.

Pachter is alright, I guess. Like I said before, if his analysis totally sucked and was worthless he wouldn't have a job.

[Joust Williams]

I like him because NeoGAF goes apeshit every time he opens his mouth

More posts per day on a Pachter thread than this whole forum

YOU SAID FUSE WHAT SELL FIVE MILLION COPIES WHAT DO YOU KNOW

I'd hang out with him

oh, I just saw this had a ton of posts, I bet I said that before ;p

[Yoshi]

Pachter should probably steer clear of statistics in the future, based on the newest Pach Attack. I love the "anything less than 30 is not a valid sample size" statement. The question does make me want to look into 2007 though.

edit: New IPs in 2007 included (series in bold)...

1. Hotel Dusk
2. Rogue Galaxy
3. Wii Play
4. Maelstrom
5. Supreme Commander
6. Crackdown
7. Bullet Witch
8. MotorStorm
9. Spectrobes
10. S.T.A.L.K.E.R.
11. Etrian Odyssey
12. Odin Sphere
13. Dream Chronicles
14. Dirt
15. The Darkness
16. Overlord
17. Luminous Arc
18. Sam & Max
19. BioShock
20. Blue Dragon
21. Dead Head Fred
22. Lair
23. Stranglehold
24. Drawn to Life
25. Jam Sessions
26. Heavenly Sword
27. Skate
28. Eternal Sonata
29. World in Conflict
30. Folklore
31. Clive Barker's Jericho
32. Zack & Wiki
33. Hellgate: London
34. The Witcher
35. Tabula Rasa
36. Crysis
37. Assassin's Creed
38. Uncharted
39. Mass Effect
40. Rock Band
41. Master of Illusion

Note: I did this off the top of my head, so I could be wrong about some being new or some having or not having sequels, but it's probably close. Also, that was a quite a run at the end of the year!

edit2: My conclusions are that the reader was way off on the 67% and that Pachter is way off on the 3, 6, or 9 new IPs.

edit3: Thanks to SSJN, we're getting closer on the 67% with 23/41.

edit4: 24/41, thanks to John.

[A Robot Bit Me]

I'm really starting to like this guy.