You're sort of losing the plot here. If people were choosing their preferred candidate, that might be broadly true, but in this case, it seems people did not do that. They voted for who they think other people will prefer, and that's the sort of thing they could be entirely wrong about. Polling data suggests a tremendous amount of Biden votes were actually this sort of calculus, not earnest preference.
Consider that the primary voter base is a small cross section of the actual democratic voter base. We hope that they act as a kind of representative sample group, but when they don't vote their preference they inherently fail to be.
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