Thanks Frank!
Last edited by burgundy; 29 Sep 2008 at 10:23 PM.
I've been short oil around the $138/barrell mark and it has as much to do with the global recession (decreases demand) as with the recent rallying of the dollar. All this time while oil declined (and with the dollar rallying) the market did not rally. I don't know how much lower oil has to go, but I'm covering my short.
If anyone feels absolutely compelled to be long this market, I would suggest that you do so only if you are protected or limit your capital exposure (i.e. via call spreads) or have very nimble hands. There is certainly opportunity in the face of disaster but I think this will be a rangebound market where you can buy on dips and sell on rallies rather than just going straight long. It's hard to pass up on all this opportunity, however.
Yep. A lot of people waited on Bear Stearns, Fannie and Freddie, Lehman, AIG, WaMu, Wachovia, etc. I personally am not surprised to see AAPL where it is though I think it will rebound to the $120 levels. The thing Shidoshi has to keep in mind is that his expectations are already priced in. Think of a stock price as Vegas odds. The odds makers have considered everything, looked under every rock. You have to beat the growth they've priced in and I'm not sure if AAPL is that company right now. The PE looks more enticing today than it did weeks ago, however.you wait for the rebound in a mutual fund or a diversified portfolio. not when you're gambling on a company.
What oil prices are you watching? Prices have nothing to do with supply. Every time something positive happens in the economy, like interest rates being lowered, oil automatically and artificially goes up. It's a crooked oligopoly, not supply and demand.
Here's the video of the Don.
My money is with a credit union that didn't get involved with these stupid sub-prime mortgages.
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