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Thread: Official Thread of Michael Pachter Predictions

  1. Not to mention how much of it would a company like Nintendo stand to get

  2. #32
    They're probably very interested in the mobile market but can't figure out how to tether somebody's purchases to a single phone.

  3. Quote Originally Posted by Diff-chan View Post
    Nobody said it was easy, but look at that number - $12 billion in the last year. Do you know what the number was five years ago? Zero. So we went from zero to $12 billion in five years. What do you think the trajectory is - where do you think the number will be in 10 years?


    I'm not denying that's a lot of money, but it's going to just a few hands. Not that the console space is that much better in that regard, it's still more spread out than .1 %.

    Plus there is no guarantee that it's going to keep climbing at the rate it is. Hell it might go faster or it might slow down big time. I think suggesting a platform holder drop their successful handheld market to chase the iOS/Android one is a bit premature.

    Sony's two entries into handhelds have both been big losses for the company. Yet I don't see anyone suggesting they drop it and develop their games for iOS/Android. Meanwhile the one company that has seen continued success in the handheld market is being told to do so. It's silly and short sighted. Let's see where the industry goes. I'm personally not convinced that iOS/Android is the future of all things gaming.

    This also isn't taking into account the market that has developed on those platforms. It's not a place to sell 30 - 40 dollar games. That market has blatantly rejected higher priced fair for 99 cent applications.
    Where I play
    Quote Originally Posted by Dolemite
    I've changed my mind about Korian. Anyone that can piss off so many people so easily is awesome. You people are suckers, playing right into his evil yellow hands.

  4. #34
    Quote Originally Posted by Shin Johnpv View Post
    I think suggesting a platform holder drop their successful handheld market to chase the iOS/Android one is a bit premature.
    It's a good thing no one did that.

    Quote Originally Posted by Shin Johnpv View Post
    Sony's two entries into handhelds have both been big losses for the company. Yet I don't see anyone suggesting they drop it and develop their games for iOS/Android.
    That might be because they already have PlayStation Mobile. And those games are attached to the same account that includes PSP, PS3, PSV, and PS4 games. It's as if common sense were involved!
    Last edited by Yoshi; 06 Dec 2013 at 02:18 PM.

  5. People don't suggest Sony go iOS Android, they just suggest they should stick to the non-portable space period.

    For me, it isn't about iOS/Android. It's about not needing a dedicated gaming device. And that's where we are headed. Now, if you're 5 years old, maybe it's still there.


    It's hard to say the the future is a shrinking market. Does anyone think the trend will actually reverse, or is it just 'there will always be a sizable market for dedicated devices, even if it isn't as large as before'?

  6. Quote Originally Posted by Shin Johnpv View Post
    I'm not denying that's a lot of money, but it's going to just a few hands. Not that the console space is that much better in that regard, it's still more spread out than .1 %.
    Well, if King.com or whomever can make money on the platform why can't Nintendo? Is King.com smarter?

    Quote Originally Posted by Shin Johnpv View Post
    Plus there is no guarantee that it's going to keep climbing at the rate it is. Hell it might go faster or it might slow down big time. I think suggesting a platform holder drop their successful handheld market to chase the iOS/Android one is a bit premature.
    First of all, Nobody is saying Nintendo should drop 3DS. Right now it is making money. But look at how the market is moving. As is, the 3DS is quite a bit less successful than the DS. There's no evidence a 4DS or whatever will reverse this trend.

    Second of all, do you think the smartphone market will "slow down big time"? I see no reason to believe it would, while at the same time I see all the reasons to believe it will continue to accelerate.


    Quote Originally Posted by Shin Johnpv View Post
    This also isn't taking into account the market that has developed on those platforms. It's not a place to sell 30 - 40 dollar games. That market has blatantly rejected higher priced fair for 99 cent applications.
    Evolve or die. Markets change and the companies that don't respond go away.

  7. Smart companies prepare for the future, dumb companies stay stuck in their ways until they become irrelevant. Right now Nintendo is acting pretty dumb.

  8. Sony proudly says "Sony" at the start of the new Amazing Spider-Man trailer, displaying a market-confidence unmatched by Microsoft.
    Quote Originally Posted by Razor Ramon View Post
    I don't even the rage I mean )#@($@IU_+FJ$(U#()IRFK)_#
    Quote Originally Posted by Some Stupid Japanese Name View Post
    I'm sure whatever Yeller wrote is fascinating!

  9. I am pulling for Sega in this new hardware generation.

    I am also thinking this thread could get merged into the "Defining Feature of the Next Gen" thread and no one would ever notice.
    Last edited by YellerDog; 06 Dec 2013 at 05:13 PM.
    Quote Originally Posted by Razor Ramon View Post
    I don't even the rage I mean )#@($@IU_+FJ$(U#()IRFK)_#
    Quote Originally Posted by Some Stupid Japanese Name View Post
    I'm sure whatever Yeller wrote is fascinating!

  10. Mobile games aren't the games you want

    but they're the games you deserve
    Donk

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